This ranks as the 5th warmest monsoon on record, tied with 2011. The airport needs to record around 0.37" of rain during December to escape being ranked in the top 10 driest years on record. This fall, the almanac forecasted lower-than-usual temperatures across the United States, with cold temperatures taking over for good in late November. ajgarrison - Flickr One record temperature was set during the month. READ MORE Monday, March 28, 2022 Flagstaff Weather -- March 28, 2022 Reach breaking news reporter Sam Burdette at sburdette@gannett.com or on Twitter @SuperSafetySam. The snowpack in the Upper Colorado River Basin was at 133 percent of the 30-year historical average as of Monday, and sits at 101 percent of what the basin has received on average through an . This cold front brought a cooler air mass with morning lows on the 25th being in the upper 30's to mid 40's. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 35% chance that they will end up above normal and a 32% chance that they will end up below normal. There were only seven days that recorded triple digit highs, which is eight days below the normal of 15 days for August. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, has recorded 5.61" is just under 3" below normal and ranks as the 13th driest January to September on record. La Nia conditions can have varying effects on weather patterns around the world. "We have no strong reason to favor a super-weak vortex like we had in winter 2020-21 at this time, and feel this winter be more like last winter," Crawford said. Thank you! For only the third time since 1910, no temperature records were set during the first three months of the year. Reuben Salazar clears snow from his home in Flagstaff on Feb. 23, 2022. Phoenix Weather Forecast for November 2022 is based on . However, if it does rain/snow during the month, expect most of it to occur on higher risk days. This is a quite a difference from a year ago when the airport recorded 13.84" of rain through the end of October. Another quiet period followed through the 18th before returning to the daily threat of showers and thunderstorms as moisture lingered across the area through the end of the month. This is the 3rd straight January in which the monthly low temperature, recorded at the airport, was NOT colder than 30. This month a raging jet into the Pacific Northwest, which has no blocking. 12News+ showcases live video throughout the day for breaking news, local news, weather and even an occasional moment of Zen showcasing breathtaking sights from across Arizona. Southern Arizona is a mixed bag in the winter sometimes you can get a nice, mild winter or a chilly, snowy one! One temperature record was set during the month when the high of 85 on the 19th set a daily cool high record, besting the old record of 86 from 1966. This ranks as the 11th driest water year period (October 1st to September 30th) on record. 47.9 Degrees C is 118.2 degrees F. Wow! There are indications that weak cutoff systems under the raging jet could bring more precipitation to Tucson than say even Phoenix, but the amount just doesnt look so high, but bears watching for that area sometime mid-month. The Tucson International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded 1.27" which is around a third of an inch above normal and ranks as the 37th wettest December on record. Free Long Range Weather Forecast for Flagstaff, Arizona. There were five days that recorded freezing low temperatures at the airport which is up from the three that occurred in the previous winter but down five from the 1991-2020 normal period. This is in sharp contrast to the previous water year which was rather wet with the airport recording 14.23". Snowfall will be below normal in most areas that normally receive snow, with the snowiest periods in early to mid-January and early February. It will modify the jet stream pattern over North America and the Pacific Ocean, extending its reach to the rest of the world. July climate data across southeast Arizona. Here are some temperature highlights for the month: The monthly average temperature of 61.7 is two-tenths of a degree below normal and ranks as the 24th warmest March on record, tied with 2019. The average yearly temperature, through the end of June, of 68.5 is 1.3 above normal and ranks as the 7th warmest on record. HOME > Outlook Maps >Seasonal Forecast Discussion. The National Weather Service in Phoenix predicts that Arizona is going to have a very wet and active monsoon season this summer, with nearly a 70% chance of precipitation expected to reach near. The December 2021 forecast went exactly as thought, word for word in both regions. For the third year in a row, the La Nia weather phenomenon is expected to bring a lack of precipitation and warmer-than-average temperatures for not just Arizona, but the entire U.S. Southwest. It's not . Expect snowy days, but not as many as we usually see (which isn't great for this whole drought situation we're in). All rights reserved. (Weather station: Payson, USA). Here was the tweet the office issued. All NOAA. Keep in mind this outlook is an overall three-month trend. Give Light and the People Will Find Their Own Way. The new year began on a wet note when a winter storm impacted the area as the calendar turned from 2021 to 2022. While the Southwest will likely escape the brunt of the onslaught of winter, we certainly aren't in the clear either. When Does It End? A record warm low temperature was set on the 22nd with a low of 66 breaking the record of 64 from 2016. account_box Log in person_add Join settings Settings Sensor Network Maps & Radar Severe Weather News & Blogs Mobile Apps Historical Weather star 36.91 N, 111.46 W Areas south of the storm track (much of the Southeast) will see frequent storms bringing cold rains and a wintry mix . Officially, 7.41" of rain was recorded at the International airport which ranks, in the 128 year climatic record period (1895-2022) for Tucson, as the 13th driest year on record. Discover our growing collection of curated stories on Washington State. Monsoon 2022 ended up warmer than normal with an average season temperature of 87.2 which is nine-tenths of a degree above normal. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded only 0.19". NOAA NCEI State Climate Summary for Arizona, 2022; Local Programs. The official start of fall is only about a month away, with the Autumn Equinox on Sept. 22. This ranks as the 16th driest first half of the water year period on record. This story does not necessarily represent the position of our parent company, IBM. Welcome back to the site after the holiday week. That's more in line with what's typically expected in La Nia winters. According to the Farmers Almanac winter weather forecast for Arizona, the 2022-2023 winter season will be a milder affair this year though drier than average, too. In a couple of words: its nice! Rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, varied widely across the metro area as is usually the case during the summer thunderstorm season. The yearly rainfall total of 6.14" at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, ranks as the 10th driest January through November period on record. The monthly average temperature of 54.0 is 1.0 ABOVE normal and ranks as the 25th warmest December on record, tied with 1995. Click on the image to the right to see how 2022 compared to the historical record. 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec December Dry conditions prevailed from the 11th to the 14th before an upper level low moved across the area bringing scattered showers, isolated thunderstorms and small hail on the 15th & 16th. Every year, the Farmers Almanac, which has been printed since 1818, attempts to answer that question with weather predictions based on generations of perception, experience, and common sense, according to its website. Our forecasts are not direct predictions of rain/snow. Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, were mostly below a half an inch (0.50") with a localized spots, especially in the foothills, recording up to nine-tenths of an inch (0.90"). As is usually the case during the summer thunderstorm season rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged widely from 3.00" to 9.00" with localized amounts between 9" and 11" along the lower elevations of the Catalina and Rincon mountains. (100 percent delivery time) the . We start off the new year here with the January 2022 forecast. Multiple locations were found. Today, Katie writes for the Texas and Arizona pages of OnlyInYourState.com and has never been more passionate about a job before. "Seasonal outlooks help communities prepare for what is likely to come in the months ahead and minimize weather's impacts on lives and livelihoods," NOAA said. Heading into the last month of the 2022 Monsoon the September monthly outlook, issued by the Climate Prediction Center, called for "leaning above normal" for precipitation and temperature. "The eruption of Tonga back in January will likely not cool the climate, given it was an underwater volcano that ejected water vapor, rather than particulates, into the stratosphere; on the contrary, given water vapor is a greenhouse gas, it may have a warming impact on the climate over the next few years," Crawford explained. See more current weather Annual Weather Averages in Sedona Airport Sedona Airport is 29 miles from Arizona, so the actual climate in Arizona can vary a bit. The forecast for precipitation is a 36% chance that they will be above normal and a 31% chance that they will end up below normal. So what's in store? The video covers both precipitation and temperature predictions, polar vortex, arctic blasts, typical snowfall, and regions that will see wamr and dry conditions for winter 2022 - 2023. 2023 www.azcentral.com. Calendar overview of Months Weather Forecast. Tell us your thoughts in the comments section below, then check out how beautiful the Grand Canyon in winter is. The forecast for precipitation is a 49% chance that they will be up below normal and a 18% chance that they will end up above normal. Generally, cool areas of the country are expected to see significant snowfalls before the start of December, although the almanac predicts Thanksgiving could have good weather in most areas of the U.S. Christmas, on the other hand, could be unsettled with either rain or snow depending on your local temperatures, the almanac says. Learn everything you need to know about the Grand Canyon State's ever-changing forecasts here.